# Zeke Hausfather

Type: Person

Source: Climate Intelligence Brief — https://getclimatebrief.com/entity/zeke-hausfather
Canonical HTML page: https://getclimatebrief.com/entity/zeke-hausfather

## Timeline

- **2026-08-04**: El Niño strengthens, odds jump to 35% — By early August, Hausfather raises his estimate to 35% that 2026 will be the hottest year, and Hansen predicts it will edge out 2024. All eyes turn to the developing El Niño's peak.
- **2026-06**: Daily sea surface temperatures become record hot — From June onward, nearly every day sets a new record for global ocean heat, amplifying the warming potential for air temperatures.
- **2026-05**: Sea surface temperatures tie 2024 record — Global daily sea surface temperatures reach the same record-high levels seen in 2024, indicating massive ocean heat.
- **2026-03**: Hausfather estimates 7% chance of record 2026 — At the start of spring, odds for 2026 surpassing 2024 are low, but the emerging El Niño starts to shift projections.
- **2025-12**: 2025 becomes second-hottest year on record — 2025 follows record-setter 2024, continuing the warming trend and setting the stage for El Niño influence in 2026.

## Recent coverage (1 stories)

### 35% chance 2026 breaks all-time heat record as El Niño strengthens, scientists warn
2026-08-05 01:44:58 · Sentiment: Neutral · Impact: 5/10 · Sources: 5

As a supercharged El Niño intensifies, climate scientists now give a 35% probability that 2026 will surpass 2024 as the hottest year ever, with 2027 nearly certain to set an even higher record. The trend underscores accelerating global warming and its cascading impacts on energy systems, policy urgency, and economic resilience.
Full story: https://getclimatebrief.com/story/climate-el-nino-2026-heat-record-odds

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